Boavista 1-2 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.15
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
22.45
X/1
7%
14.25
X/2
15%
3.7
X/X
13%
5.69
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.77
2/X
9%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.9pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.7pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 70%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.86/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.95
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
16.8 Crosses 18.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Porto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.49 xG 2.12
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
187 Passes 466
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2024 Porto Porto 4-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.05.2024 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
05.01.2024 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POR
30.04.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.11.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-4 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
20.03.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1-2
AWAY Porto
1.79 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
299 Passes 460
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto squeezed past Boavista 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Boavista had 41% of the ball to Porto's 59%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.79 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boavista and 2.17 for Porto.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Porto?

Boavista 1-2 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Boavista 21%, draw 29%, Porto 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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