Santos 2-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 May 2026

Santos
2-0 HT 1-0
Bragantino
📅11/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Santos vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.96
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
12%
6.87
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.07
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.42/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.6 Crosses 19.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santos vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
298 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2025 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
28.04.2025 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
20.10.2023 Santos Santos 1-3 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR1
29.05.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
18.10.2022 Bragantino 0-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
19.06.2022 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 2-1 Bragantino BR1

Santos 2-0 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-0
AWAY Bragantino
1.12 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos beat Bragantino 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Santos had 53% of the ball to Bragantino's 47%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos and 1.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Santos vs Bragantino?

Santos 2-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santos 46%, draw 25%, Bragantino 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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