Once Caldas 0-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.27/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.12
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.0 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Junior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2026 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
27.07.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
14.02.2025 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
02.12.2024 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
12.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
0-1
AWAY Junior
1.20 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
444 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior nicked a narrow win over Once Caldas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Once Caldas had 57% of the ball to Junior's 43%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Once Caldas and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?

Once Caldas 0-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 51%, draw 24%, Junior 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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