Lesotho 0-1 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

Lesotho
0-1 HT 0-1
Ruanda
📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Lesotho vs Ruanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
17%
7.95
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lesotho v Ruanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lesotho EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 37%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-5% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Lesotho 0-1 Ruanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lesotho
0-1
AWAY Ruanda
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lesotho vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruanda squeezed past Lesotho 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Ruanda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Lesotho had 47% of the ball to Ruanda's 53%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Lesotho vs Ruanda?

Lesotho 0-1 Ruanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lesotho vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lesotho win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lesotho 38%, draw 31%, Ruanda 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lesotho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lesotho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
11 Jun 2024
13:14 Japonya vs Suriye Analysis →
14:00 Güney Kore vs Çin Analysis →
15:10 Avustralya vs Filistin Analysis →
15:30 Endonezya vs Filipinler Analysis →
15:30 Tayland vs Singapur Analysis →
16:00 Malezya vs Tayvan Analysis →