Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0 Libya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
5.05
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Libya EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.78/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.00
-48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 10.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Libya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2015 Libya Libya 1-2 HT 0-0 Yeşil Burun Adaları Yeşil Burun Adaları AFR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
1-0
AWAY Libya
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Libya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeşil Burun Adaları nicked a narrow win over Libya 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yeşil Burun Adaları as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 58% of the ball to Libya's 42%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Libya?

Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0 Libya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Libya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeşil Burun Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 51%, draw 22%, Libya 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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