Zambiya 0-1 Tanzanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zambiya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanzanya EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.66
+69% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +121%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zambiya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tanzanya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
353 Passes 457
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.01.2024 Zambiya Zambiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Tanzanya Tanzanya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zambiya
0-1
AWAY Tanzanya
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zambiya vs Tanzanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tanzanya nicked a narrow win over Zambiya 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zambiya at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zambiya had 64% of the ball to Tanzanya's 36%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Zambiya vs Tanzanya?

Zambiya 0-1 Tanzanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zambiya vs Tanzanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zambiya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zambiya 53%, draw 26%, Tanzanya 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zambiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zambiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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