JEF United 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 23%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.20
-97% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 528
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2025 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
14.07.2024 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.09.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United and Roasso Kumamoto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JEF United had 36% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 64%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JEF United and 1.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

JEF United 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split JEF United 47%, draw 24%, Roasso Kumamoto 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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