Floriana 3-1 Tre Penne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.74
Over
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
35%
4-5
34%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Floriana win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.2pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.3pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tre Penne The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
3-1
AWAY Tre Penne
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Tre Penne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Tre Penne 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Floriana had 64% of the ball to Tre Penne's 36%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Tre Penne?

Floriana 3-1 Tre Penne in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Tre Penne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Floriana 68%, draw 19%, Tre Penne 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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