Partizani Tirana 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partizani Tirana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Partizani Tirana
1-1
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Partizani Tirana vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partizani Tirana and Marsaxlokk FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Partizani Tirana at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Partizani Tirana had 52% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Partizani Tirana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Partizani Tirana 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partizani Tirana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partizani Tirana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Partizani Tirana 55%, draw 24%, Marsaxlokk FC 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partizani Tirana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partizani Tirana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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