Tikves 3-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.59
Over Pick
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tikves The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tikves
3-2
AWAY Breidablik
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tikves vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tikves squeezed past Breidablik 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Tikves made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tikves had 51% of the ball to Breidablik's 49%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Tikves vs Breidablik?

Tikves 3-2 Breidablik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tikves vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tikves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tikves 36%, draw 29%, Breidablik 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tikves) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tikves)
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