Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 KF Tirana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.75
Over
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Torpedo Kutaisi win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.3pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KF Tirana The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-1
AWAY KF Tirana
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs KF Tirana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi and KF Tirana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 59% of the ball to KF Tirana's 41%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs KF Tirana?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 KF Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs KF Tirana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 54%, draw 22%, KF Tirana 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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