VPS vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VPS v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals
VPS 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Actual Match Statistics
Zalgiris Vilnius edged past VPS 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was VPS at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, VPS had 41% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 59%, shots finished 9-21.
What was the final score of VPS vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
VPS 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VPS vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VPS 44%, draw 24%, Zalgiris Vilnius 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.