Queen Of The South 1-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.3pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.49/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.42
+30% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.04.2026 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
10.01.2026 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
15.11.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
30.08.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.04.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
01.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South and Kelty Hearts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Queen Of The South at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.00 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Queen Of The South 1-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - League Cup on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 54%, draw 25%, Kelty Hearts 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queen Of The South), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKLK More Scotland - League Cup
11 Jul 2026
17:00 Dundee FC vs Airdrieonian Analysis →
17:00 Annan Athletic vs Ross County Analysis →
17:00 Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Analysis →
17:00 Inverness CT vs East Fife Analysis →
17:00 Stranraer vs Ayr United Analysis →
17:00 Raith Rovers vs Elgin City Analysis →