Angola 2-0 Nijer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

Angola
2-0 HT 0-0
Nijer
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No Pick
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.26
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
16%
5.45
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.9pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijer EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.86/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.40
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
28.1 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angola
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nijer
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2008 Nijer Nijer 1-2 HT 1-1 Angola Angola DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angola
2-0
AWAY Nijer
2.31 xG 0.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
366 Passes 209
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 7
39 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Angola vs Nijer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angola saw off Nijer 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Angola as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Angola had 61% of the ball to Nijer's 39%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.31 to 0.10.

What was the final score of Angola vs Nijer?

Angola 2-0 Nijer in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angola vs Nijer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angola win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Angola 56%, draw 22%, Nijer 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Angola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
11 Oct 2024
16:00 Ekvator Ginesi vs Liberya Analysis →
16:00 Zambiya vs Çad Analysis →
16:00 Mozambik vs Esvatini Analysis →
17:00 Madagaskar vs Gambiya Analysis →
19:00 Mısır vs Moritanya Analysis →
19:00 Nijerya vs Libya Analysis →