Güney Afrika 5-0 Kongo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongo EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.14/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.85
+5% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.9 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kongo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 4
Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
15.10.2014 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 0-0 HT 0-0 Kongo Kongo AFUK
11.10.2014 Kongo Kongo 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
5-0
AWAY Kongo
1.79 xG 0.62
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
470 Passes 222
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Kongo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika ran out comfortable winners over Kongo 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Afrika as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 65% of the ball to Kongo's 35%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.79 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Afrika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Güney Afrika and 0.00 for Kongo.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Kongo?

Güney Afrika 5-0 Kongo in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Kongo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 53%, draw 28%, Kongo 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Afrika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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