Gabon vs Lesotho Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gabon v Lesotho — Team-Based Signals
Gabon vs Lesotho Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Lesotho
AFUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Gabon
AFUK
Gabon 0-0 Lesotho — Actual Match Statistics
Gabon and Lesotho played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gabon at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Gabon had 72% of the ball to Lesotho's 28%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gabon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gabon and 1.50 for Lesotho.
What was the final score of Gabon vs Lesotho?
Gabon 0-0 Lesotho in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gabon vs Lesotho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gabon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gabon 58%, draw 26%, Lesotho 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gabon), Over 2.5 went the other way.