Tunus vs Komorlar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tunus v Komorlar — Team-Based Signals
Tunus 0-1 Komorlar — Actual Match Statistics
Komorlar edged past Tunus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tunus at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Tunus had 68% of the ball to Komorlar's 32%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.64 to 0.36.
What was the final score of Tunus vs Komorlar?
Tunus 0-1 Komorlar in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tunus vs Komorlar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tunus 60%, draw 24%, Komorlar 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tunus) went the other way.