Uganda vs Güney Sudan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda v Güney Sudan — Team-Based Signals
Uganda vs Güney Sudan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Uganda
AFUK
1-0
HT 0-0
Güney Sudan
AFUK
Uganda 1-0 Güney Sudan — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda nicked a narrow win over Güney Sudan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uganda as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Uganda had 66% of the ball to Güney Sudan's 34%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.77 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uganda and 0.50 for Güney Sudan.
What was the final score of Uganda vs Güney Sudan?
Uganda 1-0 Güney Sudan in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda vs Güney Sudan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Uganda 57%, draw 25%, Güney Sudan 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.