İzlanda vs Galler Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İzlanda v Galler — Team-Based Signals
İzlanda vs Galler Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
İzlanda
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Galler
HAZ
İzlanda 2-2 Galler — Actual Match Statistics
İzlanda and Galler couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Galler at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, İzlanda had 42% of the ball to Galler's 58%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.17 to 2.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Galler led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İzlanda and 2.00 for Galler.
What was the final score of İzlanda vs Galler?
İzlanda 2-2 Galler in the UEFA Uluslar League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İzlanda vs Galler?
Before kick-off our model rated an Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İzlanda 34%, draw 23%, Galler 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.