Macaristan 1-1 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.03
Over
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No Pick
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.86
2-3
40%
1.83
4-5
20%
3.18
6+
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.62
1/2
5%
22.3
1/X
4%
15.7
X/1
11%
10.1
X/2
12%
3.94
X/X
14%
5.53
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.08
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.83/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.60
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.3 Crosses 10.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Hollanda
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 4.75
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
11.09.2012 Macaristan Macaristan 1-4 HT 1-2 Hollanda Hollanda DKE
29.03.2011 Hollanda Hollanda 5-3 HT 1-0 Macaristan Macaristan AVR
25.03.2011 Macaristan Macaristan 0-4 HT 0-2 Hollanda Hollanda AVR
05.06.2010 Hollanda Hollanda 6-1 HT 1-1 Macaristan Macaristan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan
1-1
AWAY Hollanda
0.42 xG 1.23
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
170 Passes 632
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macaristan vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan and Hollanda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macaristan had 26% of the ball to Hollanda's 74%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.42 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hollanda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Macaristan and 4.75 for Hollanda.

What was the final score of Macaristan vs Hollanda?

Macaristan 1-1 Hollanda in the UEFA Uluslar League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Macaristan 28%, draw 26%, Hollanda 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hollanda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
11 Oct 2024
19:00 Estonya vs Azerbaycan Analysis →
21:45 İzlanda vs Galler Analysis →
21:45 Türkiye vs Karadağ Analysis →
21:45 Bosna-Hersek vs Almanya Analysis →
21:45 Ukrayna vs Gürcistan Analysis →
21:45 Çekya vs Arnavutluk Analysis →