Estonya vs Azerbaycan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Estonya v Azerbaycan — Team-Based Signals
Estonya vs Azerbaycan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Estonya 3-1 Azerbaycan — Actual Match Statistics
Estonya beat Azerbaycan 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Estonya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Estonya had 33% of the ball to Azerbaycan's 67%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.63 to 1.74.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estonya and 1.33 for Azerbaycan.
Estonya vs Azerbaycan Result & Final Score
Estonya 3 - 1 Azerbaycan in the UEFA Nations League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Estonya vs Azerbaycan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Azerbaycan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estonya 30%, draw 31%, Azerbaycan 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.