Ukrayna vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ukrayna v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals
Ukrayna vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Ukrayna
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
Ukrayna
AVR
3-2
HT 1-1
Gürcistan
AVR
1-1
HT 0-1
Ukrayna
DKE
2-0
HT 1-0
Gürcistan
DKE
Ukrayna 1-0 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics
Ukrayna edged past Gürcistan 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Ukrayna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Ukrayna had 41% of the ball to Gürcistan's 59%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.57 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ukrayna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ukrayna and 1.00 for Gürcistan.
What was the final score of Ukrayna vs Gürcistan?
Ukrayna 1-0 Gürcistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs Gürcistan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 33%, draw 28%, Gürcistan 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gürcistan) went the other way.