Sırbistan 0-1 Arnavutluk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.72
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.49
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
14%
8.81
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
8%
7.75
2/X
4%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk EU Bookmakers 24%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.41/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.56
+93% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +133%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
23.0 Crosses 11.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arnavutluk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.53 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2025 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 0-0 HT 0-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
08.10.2015 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 0-2 HT 0-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan AVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
0-1
AWAY Arnavutluk
1.56 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
361 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs Arnavutluk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk nicked a narrow win over Sırbistan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sırbistan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sırbistan had 55% of the ball to Arnavutluk's 45%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.56 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sırbistan.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sırbistan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sırbistan and 0.00 for Arnavutluk.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs Arnavutluk?

Sırbistan 0-1 Arnavutluk in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs Arnavutluk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 49%, draw 25%, Arnavutluk 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sırbistan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sırbistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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