Briton Ferry 0-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
63%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.3pp
63%
Away Win
58%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
0.88/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.96
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
08.02.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
27.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
31.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Briton Ferry 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 1.75 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay?

Briton Ferry 0-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 19%, draw 18%, Connahs Quay 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
11 Oct 2025
16:30 Flint Town United vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
16:30 Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →
16:30 Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
19:15 The New Saints vs Penybont Analysis →