The New Saints 6-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.90/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.07
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Penybont
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.08.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
29.03.2025 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
08.02.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
23.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-2 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
20.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Penybont 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.83 for Penybont.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Penybont?

The New Saints 6-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 60%, draw 23%, Penybont 17%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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