Benfica 0-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.6
X/1
19%
3.49
X/2
6%
14.4
X/X
12%
6.16
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
8%
12.0
2/X
8%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.69/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.23
-20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.7 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
0-0
AWAY Bologna
1.27 xG 0.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
327 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica and Bologna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benfica had 49% of the ball to Bologna's 51%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Bologna?

Benfica 0-0 Bologna in the Champions League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Benfica 53%, draw 26%, Bologna 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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