Milan vs Kızılyıldız Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Kızılyıldız — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Kızılyıldız Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Kızılyıldız
AVL
2-2
HT 0-1
Milan
AVL
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
ŞMP
1-0
HT 1-0
Kızılyıldız
ŞMP
Milan 2-1 Kızılyıldız — Actual Match Statistics
Milan squeezed past Kızılyıldız 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Milan had 52% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.00 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Milan's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan and 1.00 for Kızılyıldız.
What was the final score of Milan vs Kızılyıldız?
Milan 2-1 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Kızılyıldız?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Milan 58%, draw 23%, Kızılyıldız 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.