Feyenoord vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Feyenoord v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals
Feyenoord vs Sparta Prag Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Feyenoord
AVL
2-2
HT 0-2
Sparta Prag
AVL
Feyenoord 4-2 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics
Feyenoord saw off Sparta Prag 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Feyenoord had 57% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Feyenoord and 2.00 for Sparta Prag.
What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Sparta Prag?
Feyenoord 4-2 Sparta Prag in the Champions League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Sparta Prag?
Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 58%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.