Hoffenheim U19 1-0 Auxerre U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.07
Over
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.7
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.0
6+
6%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.95
X/X
15%
5.41
2/1
5%
22.55
2/2
6%
5.69
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.1pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim U19 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Auxerre U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2024 Auxerre U19 Auxerre U19 1-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim U19 Hoffenheim U19 UEGL
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim U19 vs Auxerre U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim U19 squeezed past Auxerre U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoffenheim U19 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim U19 vs Auxerre U19?

Hoffenheim U19 1-0 Auxerre U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim U19 vs Auxerre U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim U19 50%, draw 28%, Auxerre U19 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim U19), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
11 Dec 2024
14:00 Olympiakos U19 vs Trencin U19 Analysis →
14:00 Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs FCV Farul U19 Analysis →
14:00 Benfica U19 vs Bologna U19 Analysis →
15:00 Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 Analysis →
16:00 Juventus U19 vs Manchester City U19 Analysis →
16:00 Milan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 Analysis →