Denbigh Town 4-1 Llandudno FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Llandudno FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Llandudno FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.12.2023 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Llandudno FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town swept aside Llandudno FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Llandudno FC?

Denbigh Town 4-1 Llandudno FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Llandudno FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 48%, draw 23%, Llandudno FC 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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