Atlético Paso 0-1 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-8.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 51%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.40/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/2.81
+46% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -69%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
2W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
24.03.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-1 HT 2-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
12.11.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
05.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
16.10.2022 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
0-1
AWAY CD Guadalajara
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara edged past Atlético Paso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 34% / 39% — and on the day CD Guadalajara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 56% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 44%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlético Paso and 1.20 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs CD Guadalajara?

Atlético Paso 0-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 27%, draw 34%, CD Guadalajara 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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