Jaraaf 1-0 ASEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 12 Jan 2025

Jaraaf
1-0 HT 1-0
ASEC
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
47%
2.63
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.22
Over 2.5
28%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.81
No
57%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
9.85
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.2pp
47%
Draw
35%
+12.3pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
78%
-6.6pp
28%
Over 2.5
22%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaraaf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ASEC EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.84/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.72
+77% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
31.0 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaraaf
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ASEC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.74 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2024 ASEC 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaraaf Jaraaf CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaraaf
1-0
AWAY ASEC
0.72 xG 0.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
185 Passes 347
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaraaf vs ASEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaraaf edged past ASEC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Jaraaf had 39% of the ball to ASEC's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Jaraaf vs ASEC?

Jaraaf 1-0 ASEC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaraaf vs ASEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jaraaf 33%, draw 47%, ASEC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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