Rapid Wien U19 1-2 Atletico Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.51
Over 2.5
44%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.57
6+ Goals
8%
6.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.99 — our 30% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.67
1/2
5%
18.95
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
7%
9.59
X/2
16%
4.44
X/X
11%
6.62
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.08
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
36%
+19.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
64%
-19.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.8pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
233 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien U19
1-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 nicked a narrow win over Rapid Wien U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Wien U19 had 45% of the ball to Atletico Madrid U19's 55%, shots finished 14-21.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Rapid Wien U19 1-2 Atletico Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien U19 29%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid U19 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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