Real Sociedad III 0-3 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.64
+39% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 231
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
28.01.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
17.09.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
0-3
AWAY Zaragoza II
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II swept aside Real Sociedad III 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Zaragoza II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 54% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 46%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad III and 1.67 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Zaragoza II?

Real Sociedad III 0-3 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad III win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 39%, draw 28%, Zaragoza II 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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