Nürnberg II 2-3 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
35%
4-5
27%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.69/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.62
+25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Schweinfurt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.10.2024 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 4-1 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 3-2 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-4 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt squeezed past Nürnberg II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Schweinfurt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nürnberg II and 2.17 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Schweinfurt?

Nürnberg II 2-3 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 30%, draw 26%, Schweinfurt 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
12 Apr 2025
14:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
14:00 Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
15:00 VFC Plauen vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
15:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs Bahlinger SC Analysis →
15:00 Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg Analysis →