Villingen 1-3 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.18
Over
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No Pick
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villingen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 56%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.35/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.87
+6% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villingen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Steinbach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.10.2024 Steinbach Steinbach 3-1 HT 2-1 Villingen Villingen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Villingen vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach beat Villingen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Steinbach as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Villingen vs Steinbach?

Villingen 1-3 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villingen vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villingen 35%, draw 22%, Steinbach 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steinbach) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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