Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 46%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.25/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.11
+5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
18.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 5-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-1
AWAY CS Herediano
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano squeezed past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 40% of the ball to CS Herediano's 60%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.50 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 33%, draw 28%, CS Herediano 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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