Sepsi 1-4 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.66/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.58
-9% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.4 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2025 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
22.09.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
03.05.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.04.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
30.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-4
AWAY SSC Farul
1.61 xG 2.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 6
253 Passes 364
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul ran out comfortable winners over Sepsi 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sepsi had 45% of the ball to SSC Farul's 55%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.61 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sepsi and 1.17 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Sepsi 1-4 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 42%, draw 26%, SSC Farul 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sepsi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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