Reggiana 2-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.06/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.85
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.2 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
22.02.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
28.09.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.02.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
24.10.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
06.02.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-0
AWAY Carrarese
0.80 xG 1.23
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
191 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana got the better of Carrarese 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reggiana had 33% of the ball to Carrarese's 67%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.80 to 1.23 — on chances, Carrarese could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Reggiana and 0.67 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Carrarese?

Reggiana 2-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 27%, draw 31%, Carrarese 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carrarese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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