Spezia 0-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Apr 2026

Spezia
0-2 HT 0-1
Mantova
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Spezia vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 33% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spezia v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.41/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.19
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.4 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Spezia vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mantova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.82 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
260 Passes 403
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Mantova Mantova 4-1 HT 1-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
13.04.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.12.2024 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
17.05.2008 Spezia Spezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
22.12.2007 Mantova Mantova 3-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
13.03.2007 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB

Spezia 0-2 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
0-2
AWAY Mantova
2.02 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
199 Passes 307
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova got the better of Spezia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spezia had 44% of the ball to Mantova's 56%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.02 to 0.88 — on chances, Spezia could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 1.83 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Mantova?

Spezia 0-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spezia 41%, draw 28%, Mantova 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5
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