Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City took care of Wellington Phoenix 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Melbourne City had 49% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 51%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.47 to 0.36.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne City and 0.50 for Wellington Phoenix.
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Result & Final Score
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 54%, draw 23%, Wellington Phoenix 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.