Perth Glory vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perth Glory v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Perth Glory 3-1 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory saw off Macarthur 3-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Macarthur at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Macarthur saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.75 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Perth Glory against 2.50 for Macarthur.
Perth Glory vs Macarthur Result & Final Score
Perth Glory 3 - 1 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perth Glory vs Macarthur Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 30%, draw 23%, Macarthur 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macarthur) went the other way.