Perth Glory 3-1 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.87
1/2
9%
20.35
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
16%
7.49
X/2
19%
4.92
X/X
8%
5.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
29.0
2/2
11%
2.57
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 13% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+11.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.43/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.92
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 84%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.3
19.3 Crosses 30.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macarthur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.41 xG 1.91
44% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2026 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
30.11.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
27.12.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-3 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.10.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 6-1 HT 5-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-2 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
3-1
AWAY Macarthur
1.75 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
293 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory saw off Macarthur 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Perth Glory made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory had 47% of the ball to Macarthur's 53%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.75 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Perth Glory and 2.50 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Macarthur?

Perth Glory 3-1 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 40%, draw 22%, Macarthur 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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12 Apr 2026
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