Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mechelen
BEL
4-0
HT 1-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
Mechelen 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise nicked a narrow win over Mechelen 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mechelen had 56% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 44%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.27 to 2.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mechelen and 0.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Mechelen 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 18%, draw 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.