Anderlecht 3-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.67
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
18%
4.8
X/2
9%
7.47
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
23.1
2/2
8%
5.29
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.79/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.67
+37% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.2 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gent
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
408 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.01.2026 Gent Gent 4-2 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
15.01.2026 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEK
23.09.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEL
02.02.2025 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-1
AWAY Gent
1.73 xG 2.24
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
499 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht got the better of Gent 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 65% of the ball to Gent's 35%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.73 to 2.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gent.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Anderlecht and 0.83 for Gent.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Gent?

Anderlecht 3-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 55%, draw 23%, Gent 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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