Portland Timbers 1-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.76
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.35
X/X
12%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.46
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.53/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.31
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.9 Crosses 21.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
321 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
03.06.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
16.04.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.08.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
09.07.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-3 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.08.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-2 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
470 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
FAQ Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Seattle Sounders edged past Portland Timbers 2-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 12 May 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 53% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 47%, shots finished 8-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Portland Timbers and 0.67 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

Portland Timbers 1-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 39%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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