Al Nejmeh 1-0 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 12 Jun 2026

📅12/06/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.31
+6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.11.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
03.07.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
18.05.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
19.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
26.01.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nejmeh
1-0
AWAY Al Ahed
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh edged past Al Ahed 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Nejmeh had 56% of the ball to Al Ahed's 44%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.00 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Al Nejmeh 1-0 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 48%, draw 29%, Al Ahed 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✗ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
12 Jun 2026
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