Nantes 2-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
0.88/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-44% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
614 Passes 220
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.08.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes HAZ
20.01.2024 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRK
15.07.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
28.10.2014 Nantes Nantes 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRLK
19.01.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
10.08.2012 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
2-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes saw off Stade Lavallois 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Nantes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Nantes had 55% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 1.00 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Stade Lavallois?

Nantes 2-0 Stade Lavallois in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nantes 39%, draw 29%, Stade Lavallois 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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