Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.04
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
24%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.15
1/2
8%
18.1
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
7%
10.6
X/2
16%
4.46
X/X
13%
7.16
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
21%
1.93
2/X
5%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-12.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.44/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.00
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
22.4 Crosses 23.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viking
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
363 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-3 HT 1-3 Viking Viking NOR
09.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOK
04.05.2025 Viking Viking 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
27.10.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
01.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.11.2023 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-0
AWAY Viking
1.40 xG 0.92
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
322 Passes 498
37 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over Viking 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viking at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Viking.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?

Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 30%, draw 25%, Viking 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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