Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Puebla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.26 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
20.09.2025 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.04.2025 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
14.07.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 4-1 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
20.01.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
09.10.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 0-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
PREVIEW Necaxa vs Puebla
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Necaxa in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Necaxa's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Necaxa and 0.67 for Puebla.

Necaxa vs Puebla Kick-off Time

Necaxa play Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 12/09/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Necaxa vs Puebla Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Necaxa vs Puebla is a Necaxa win at about 48% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Necaxa 48%, draw 27%, Puebla 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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