Puebla vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
Puebla 0-0 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla and Necaxa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Puebla at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Puebla had 61% of the ball to Necaxa's 39%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puebla and 1.67 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Necaxa?
Puebla 0-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puebla 41%, draw 25%, Necaxa 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.